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Canada may be heading into a fall that refuses to play by the usual rules.
According to The Old Farmer’s Almanac’s Fall 2026 Weather Predictions, much of Canada is expected to see warmer-than-average temperatures—but that doesn't mean smooth sailing.
Rain is also set to make its presence felt, with above-average precipitation forecast across much of the country.
What kind of winter is predicted for 2026 in Canada?
A rapidly strengthening Super El Niño is set to reshape Canada's weather this fall and winter.
While some regions could enjoy an unusually mild autumn, others are facing a colder, wetter season, with snow showers already possible in parts of the North. And British Columbia's forecast is shaping up to be particularly divided, with dramatically different conditions depending on which part of the province you call home.
What is The Old Farmer's Almanac predicting for Canada this fall?
See what temperatures and precipitation look like across Canada with highlights for every region:
Southern Quebec
Quebec's fall forecast is split in two: warmer-than-normal conditions are expected in the east, while western parts of the province could see cooler weather. September and October are both forecast to be wetter than average.
Check out: Best indoor things to do in Montreal when it rains
Southern Ontario
A cooler-than-normal September could give way to more seasonable temperatures in October. Rainfall is expected to be well above average in eastern Ontario and slightly above normal in the west.
Atlantic Canada
October is expected to turn warmer than normal following a near-average September, but umbrellas may be in high demand. A wetter-than-average fall is forecast, particularly in eastern areas, where above-average rainfall could stretch across consecutive months.
Southern Prairies
The Prairies could be in for a notably warmer fall, with October expected to bring the biggest departure from normal temperatures. Both September and October are also forecast to be wetter than usual.
Southern British Columbia
B.C. could see one of Canada's most divided forecasts. Northern areas are expected to start September warmer than normal, while southern regions trend cooler before temperatures settle closer to average in October. Northern B.C. could be drier than average, while southern areas face wetter conditions.
Yukon
The warmth could ramp up dramatically in October, when temperatures may average as much as 4°C above normal. Both September and October are expected to be wetter than average, with snow showers also possible.
Northwest Territories
A warmer and wetter fall is on the horizon, with above-average temperatures and precipitation expected throughout September and October. Snow showers could also enter the picture as the season progresses.
For more information about The Old Farmer’s Almanac, click here.
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